The U.S. dollar rose to nearly two-month highs against the yen on Tuesday. The risk appetite is improved following the French election and investors focused on monetary policy and potential Federal Reserve interest rate hikes.
The dollar was up 0.88 percent against the yen at 114.25 yen , after earlier hitting its highest level since mid-March. The euro also rose against the yen, up 0.39 percent at 124.16 yen.
“The overall outlook remains solid”
Chief market analyst at Commonwealth Foreign Exchange in Washington, Omer Esiner, said for Bloomberg that “the U.S. economy saw a marked deceleration in the first quarter, the overall outlook remains solid and the Fed is still widely expected to raise U.S. lending rates in June and likely again in September".
Chinese shares rose after a five-day selloff brought the Shanghai Composite Index to the lowest level since October. Asian stocks slipped after rallying to a two-year high on Monday. Japan’s Topix retreated from the highest level since December 2015.
Gold prices fell to six-week lows, under pressure from a strengthening dollar on expectations of further U.S. rate rises. The political uncertainty in Europe is also a reason for this drop. Spot gold was down 0.74 percent to $1,228.81. U.S. gold futures fell 1.52 percent to $1,229.50 an ounce.
A rising U.S. currency makes dollar-denominated commodities more expensive for holders of other currencies, potentially subduing demand for Gold. According to Goldman Sachs, the precious metal may be traded moderately lower. The 3-month target of the bank is is $1,200/oz.
Oil prices extended losses on Thursday after news that two key oilfields in Libya had restarted, pumping crude for export into an already bloated market.
Libya's Sharara oilfield, with a production capacity of almost 300,000 barrels per day (bpd), has restarted after the end of protests that had blocked pipelines there, according to a Libyan oil source and local official. The same source said El Feel oilfield, with a capacity of about 90,000 bpd, had also restarted.
According to the OPEC Secretary, General Mohammad Barkindo, a global oil overhang was declining. He added that stocks remained high and needed to fall further.
OPEC is discussing extending its cuts into the second half of the year, but the group has a hard task. Oil inventories are near record levels in many parts of the world.
U.S. equities got off to a strong start today. The Dow Jones industrial average rose more than 200 points, with Caterpillar contributing the most gains .
The S&P 500 advanced 0.5 percent, with financials and materials rising more than 1 percent to lead advancers and Nasdaq Composite Index topped 6,000 for the first time. Stocks in Europe and emerging markets climbed, as risk appetite fueled by the outcome of France’s election continued.
Some of the firms that posted quarterly results before the bell:
Caterpillar: posted EPS of $1.28 and sales of $9.822 billion, versus expected EPS of 62 cents and $9.271 billion revenue forecast.
McDonald's: posted EPS of $1.47 and revenue of $5.68 billion, versus expected EPS of $1.33 and sales of $5.53 billion.
3M: posted EPS of $2.16 and revenue of $7.685 billion, versus expected EPS of $2.06 and sales of $7.472 billion.
DuPont: posted EPS of $1.64 and sales of $7.743 billion, versus expected EPS of $1.39 and revenue of $7.504 billion.
The euro reached a five-and-a-half month high against the US dollar when markets opened Sunday evening as exit polls in the French presidential election.
This comes after exit polls showed the independent candidate Emmanuel Macron gathered most of the votes in the first round of the French election.
His candidate Marine Le Pen is placed second in the first vote. Macron and Le Pen will dispute the presidency on May 7, when the runoff vote takes place. According to some financial analysts, the safe-haven bid should leave the U.S. Treasury market stabilizing the top side in EUR/USD.
U.S. commercial crude inventories decreased by 1 million barrels from one week ago, falling to 532.3 million, according to the Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Total motor gasoline inventories increased by 1.5 million barrels last week and are now near the upper limit of the average range. Crude fell in the previous two sessions. According to the secretary-general of the OPEC, Mohammed Sanusi Barkindo, the group was committed to cutting inventories to the five-year average.
Many analysts warned that prices could quickly turn negative. OPEC and other producers agreed to cut output by almost 1.8 million barrels per day in the first half of 2017.
British Prime Minister Theresa May called for an early general election as difficult Brexit negotiations get underway. According to her, the U.K. has a unique opportunity to form a unified government while the EU decides its negotiating position on Brexit. The early election is due to be held on June 8 but would a need a two-thirds majority by U.K. lawmakers before being made official.
A recent YouGov poll suggests that the governing Conservative party currently maintains the lead, garnering 44 percent of public support. The Labour party holds 23 percent and the Liberal Democrats trail behind with 12 percent.
Gold jumped more than 1 percent on Tuesday. Spot gold rose 1.48 percent to $1,272.75 per ounce, while U.S. gold futures for June delivery gained 1.71 percent to $1,275.40.
Investors sought assets seen as havens from risk as political and security tensions rose over North Korea, the Middle East and the uncertain result of the upcoming French presidential election.
Global tensions soared when Western countries were joined by Middle Eastern allies in a push to isolate Syrian President Bashar al-Assad following a chemical attack in the country. French elections were also a risk factor which boost demand for safe-haven assets among many investors.
The Dow Jones industrial average rose 150 points. UnitedHealth and McDonald's contributed the most gains on the Dow.
Private payrolls rose by 263,000 last month, above the estimate of 185,000. The February number was revised significantly lower from the originally reported 298,000. According to some analysts, most of the market participants were worried that last month's weather could have had an adverse impact on hiring. Other data released today the Institute for Supply Management non-manufacturing index which came in at 55.2, below an expected 57.
The euro fell to its lowest since March 15 against the dollar and lowest since March 3 against sterling, after German and Spanish consumer inflation slowed more sharply than expected. Financial analysts said the euro falling below a technically important level around $1.07 against the dollar triggered orders by traders to sell. That helped sink it to $1.0686.
The Commerce Department earlier reported that U.S. gross domestic product grew faster than previously reported in the fourth quarter last year thanks to robust consumer spending. The dollar rose today as a combination of technical trading and a theme of strong U.S. economic data and potential weakness in the euro zone.