GBPJPY D1 02 17 2020 0829

The GBP/JPY is near the overbought level, according to the daily chart. The price is above EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100, and the stochastic oscillator indicates a medium-term overbought. The sell signal might be below 140.87, where is EMA 100 on the daily chart. The price is stuck into a range between 144.00 and 140.00, on the weekly chart. The price stays above EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100, and the stochastic oscillator is still in the neutral zone.

The most important data from this week:
February 18
UK Unemployment Change 3M (+170k expectation); (+280k previous)
Rate (3.8% expectation); (3.8% previous)
February 19
UK CPI YoY (1.6% expectation); (1.3% previous)
February 21
Japan CPI YoY (0.7% expectation); (0.8% previous)

GBPJPY W1 02 17 2020 0832

 

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GBPUSD D1 01 13 2020 0913

 

The GBP/USD is still into a range in the uptrend line on the daily chart. The price is above EMA 50 and EMA100. The bottom of the RSI was hit at 41. The medium-term uptrend is also confirmed by the weekly chart. The price is above EMA20, EMA50, and EMA100, and the RSI oscillator is above 50.

The most important data from this week:
January 13
UK GDP MoM (0.00% expectation); (0.00% previous)
QoQ (-0.1% expectation); (0.00% previous)
January 14
US CPI MoM (0.3% expectation); (0.3% previous)
YoY (2.3% expectation); (2.3% previous)
January 15
UK CPI MoM (0.2% expectation); (0.2% previous)
YoY (1.5% expectation); (1.5% previous)

 

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GBPUSD D1 02 10 2020 1124

The GBP/USD pair may continue to fall in the medium-term. The MACD is into negative territory, and the RSI oscillator stays below 50, according to our daily chart analysis. The price is below EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100. The weekly chart also indicates a downtrend. The RSI downtrend pattern is still in the progress of getting completed. The stochastic oscillator is down, and the price stays below EMA20, EMA 50, and EMA100.

The most important data from this week:
February 11
UK GDP 4Q (0.8% expectation); ( 1.1% previous)
YoY (3.7% expectation); ( 2.0% previous)
UK Trade Balance (-350m expectation); ( -4031m previous)
FED Chairman Powell to Speak Before House Financial Services Panel
BOE Governor Carney Speaks Before Lords Committee
February 12
FED Chairman Powell Testifies Before Senate Banking Panel
February 13
US CPI (2.5% expectation); ( 2.3% previous)

GBPUSD W1 02 10 2020 1122

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EURUSD D1 01 06 2020 0936

A medium-term increase is expected for the EUR/USD currency pair.The RSI oscillator is above 50, and the stochastic indicator shows an uptrend on the weekly chart. The price is above EMA 20, and EMA 50, and soon it will reach EMA 100. According to the daily chart, the MACD is still positive. The RSI oscillator is above 50, and the price has already hit EMA 200, EMA 50, and EMA 100. The price will reach 1.1272 in the medium term, where is Fibo 23%.

January 7
Eurozone CPI YoY (1.3% expectation); (1.3% previous)
MoM (0.3% expectation); (-0.3% previous)
January 8
Eurozone Economic Confidence (101.4 expectation); (101.3 previous)
US ADP Employment change (160k expectation); (67k previous)
January 10
US NFP (162k expectation); (266k previous)
US Unemployment Rate (3.5% expectation); (3.5% previous)

EURUSD W1 01 06 2020 0934

 

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EURAUD D1 02 03 2020 1205

 

The EUR/AUD pair might continue to rise in the near term, according to our daily and weekly analysis. The price has already reached EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100, and the MACD is still positive, on the daily chart. The uptrend RSI pattern is in the progress of getting completed, and the stochastic oscillator indicates an uptrend on the weekly chart. The price stays above EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100.

The most important data from this week:

January 3

RBA rate decision 0.75% expected  (0.75% previous)

January 4

RBA Governor Lowe Gives Speech in Sydney  

January 5 

 ECB President Lagarde Speaks in Paris

January 7

RBA's Lowe Semi-annual Testimony to Parliament Committee

RBA Statement on Monetary Policy

EURAUD W1 02 03 2020 1204

 

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EURCHF D1 12 09 2019 1020

 

The EUR/CHF pair might fall more in the near term. The pair is still into a range between 1.1039 and 1.0850, on the daily chart. The MACD remains into negative territory, and the price is below EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100, on the daily chart.

EURCHF W1 12 09 2019 1017

USDCAD D1 01 27 2020 1055

 

A medium-long term increase is expected on the USD/CAD currency pair, according to our daily and weekly analysis. The stochastic oscillator is positive, the RSI oscillator is above 50, and the uptrend pattern is in progress. The price is above EMA 50, EMA 100, and EMA 200. It may rise to close the gap on the weekly chart, at 1.3650. The MACD indicator has a positive value on the weekly chart, and the price has already reached EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100.
The most important data from this week:
January 29
FOMC rate decision (1.50% expectation); (1.50% previous)
Jerome Powell press conference
January 30
US GDP Q4 (2.2% expectation); (2.1% previous)
January 31
Canada GDP (1.2% previous)

USDCAD W1 01 27 2020 1053

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EURAUD D1 12 02 2019 0934

The EUR/AUD pair is still into an uptrend, according to our technical analysis. The price on the daily chart has already reached EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100. The MACD is into positive territory, and the RSI oscillator is above 50. According to the weekly chart, the price is above EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100. The stochastic oscillator and the RSI on the weekly chart indicate the uptrend for this pair.

The most important data from this week:
December 2
ECB President Lagarde testifies at European Parliament
December 3
RBA rate (0.75% expectation); ( 0.75% previous)
December 4
Australia GDP QoQ (0.5% expectation)
YoY (1.4% expectation 

EURAUD W1 12 02 2019 0935

 

 

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GBPCAD D1 01 20 2020 0906

The GBP/CAD currency pair has entered into a downtrend in the medium term. The MACD is still into negative territory, and the price is below EMA 20 and EMA 50, according to the daily chart. The weekly chart indicates a downtrend for this pair. The price stays below EMA 20 and EMA 50. A downtrend pattern formed on the RSI oscillator is still in progress.

January 21
UK Unemployment rate 3.8% expectation (3.8% previous)
UK Unemployment change (28k previous)
BOE governor Mark Carney speaks in Davos
January 22
Canada CPI YoY (2.3% expectation); (2.2% previous)
MoM (0.00% expectation); (-0.1% previous)
BOC rate decision (1.75% expectation); ( 1.75% previous)
BOC chairman Poloz press conference

GBPCAD W1 01 20 2020 0908

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EURUSD D1 11 25 2019 1001

 

The EUR/USD pair will fall in the near term, according to the daily and weekly charts. The price is above EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100 on the daily chart. The MACD indicator is into negative territory. The RSI oscillator on the weekly chart is above 50, and the downtrend RSI pattern is in the progress of getting completed. The price on the weekly chart is still above EMA 20, EMA 50, and EMA 100, and the stochastic moves down. EUR/USD pair also declines because of the interest rate differentials between the US and Eurozone. The interest rate in the US is higher than the interest rate in Eurozone.

The most important data from this week:

November 27
US GDP Q3 (1.9% expectation); ( 1.9% previous)
November 28
Germany CPI YoY (1.2% expectation); ( 0.9% previous)
MoM (-0.6% expectation); ( 0.1% previous)
November 29
Germany Unemployment Change (5k expectation); (6k previous)
Unemployment Rate (5.0% expectation); ( 5.0% previous)
Eurozone CPI YoY (1.2% expectation); (1.1% previous)
MoM (-0.4% expectation); ( 0.1% previous)

EURUSD W1 11 25 2019 0959

 

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